Performance Fluctuations
Edwin Díaz displayed flashes of brilliance when operating at peak performance, solidifying his status as one of baseball’s premier closers. Despite missing the entire 2023 season due to a torn patellar tendon, he managed a 3.52 ERA during the 2024 regular season. However, Díaz’s season was marred by inconsistencies in his closing role, as he surrendered saves in 7 of his 27 opportunities, underscoring the challenges even elite pitchers face over time.
Mounting Concerns on Velocity
A noticeable drop in fastball velocity has cast additional doubt on Díaz’s ability to dominate as he once did. While he previously showcased pitches that frequently hit 97 MPH and occasionally reached 100 MPH, spring training numbers indicate his fastball consistently falling between 93 and 95 MPH, with only sporadic peaks near 97 MPH. Early struggles in spring, including issues with controlling baserunners, have intensified scrutiny over his capacity to maintain his high-caliber performance.
Competitor Emergence and Future Outlook
The decline in velocity and the persistent spring training challenges open the door for Dedniel Núñez, a reliever emerging with strong expectations and an impressive $100M outlook. Núñez, coming off a return from a flexor tendon injury, has demonstrated the ability to consistently hit 98 MPH. With his rapid resurgence on the mound and Díaz’s current uncertainties, there is growing anticipation that Núñez might assume the closer role, relegating Díaz to a setup position. In this evolving scenario, the Mets face a pivotal decision as they weigh Díaz’s second season post-knee surgery against Núñez’s promising performance, potentially reshaping the dynamics of their bullpen in the near future.
